Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.