Tigres
2 - 1
Toluca

Gignac (35', 38')
Gignac (39'), Pizarro (41'), Ayala (54'), Salcedo (90+1')
Ayala (71')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ayala (52' og.)
Gonzalez (37'), Mora (51'), Maidana (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Tigres and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.

Result
Tigres	Draw	Toluca
53.75%	23.93%	22.32%

Both teams to score 52.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.15%

48.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.06%

70.94%

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.91%

18.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.97%

49.02%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.63%

36.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.85%

73.15%

Score Analysis

Tigres 53.74%

Toluca 22.32%

Draw 23.92%

Tigres	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 9.73% 2-0 @ 9.62% 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-0 @ 5.48% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.42% Total : 53.74%	1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.58% 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.92%	0-1 @ 6.66% 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.81% Total : 22.32%