Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 22.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.