Toluca
3 - 1
Tigres

Lopez (33'), Canelo (83'), Samudio (90+6')
Barbieri (90+10')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pizarro (27')
Pizarro (60'), Vigon (61')
Pizarro (64')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Tigres.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Toluca win it was 1-0 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Tigres
25.01%	26.21%	48.79%

Both teams to score 48.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.63%

55.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.42%

76.58%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.48%

37.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.7%

74.31%

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.27%

22.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.59%

56.41%

Score Analysis

Toluca 25.01%

Tigres 48.78%

Draw 26.2%

Toluca	Draw	Tigres
1-0 @ 8.36% 2-1 @ 6.07% 2-0 @ 4.1% 3-1 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.68% Total : 25.01%	1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 8.53% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.2%	0-1 @ 12.63% 0-2 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 9.17% 0-3 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 4.53% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-4 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.86% Total : 48.78%