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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
A

Montpellier
4 - 1
Angers

Souquet (18'), Delort (43', 60'), Mollet (86')
Congre (16'), Delort (33'), Souquet (41'), Cozza (66')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bahoken (25')
Ebosse (11'), Bahoken (56'), Pavlovic (62'), S (62')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Angers had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawAngers
46.57%26.55%26.89%
Both teams to score 48.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.6%55.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.4%76.6%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23%23.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.08%57.92%
Angers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.07%35.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.29%72.71%
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 46.57%
    Angers 26.89%
    Draw 26.55%
Montpellier HSCDrawAngers
1-0 @ 12.27%
2-1 @ 9.02%
2-0 @ 8.82%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 46.57%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 8.54%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 8.74%
1-2 @ 6.43%
0-2 @ 4.47%
1-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 26.89%


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