Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 54.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Nice had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.