Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 0-1 (12.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.