SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 0-1 (12.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Dunkerque |
| 37.19% | 29.75% | 33.05% |
| Both teams to score 42.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.58% | 64.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.52% | 83.48% |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.73% | 33.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.12% | 69.88% |
| Dunkerque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.92% | 36.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.14% | 72.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajaccio | Draw | Dunkerque |
| 1-0 @ 13.2% 2-1 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 7.27% 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.19% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.74% | 0-1 @ 12.23% 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 6.24% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.98% Total : 33.05% |
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