Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 48.81%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 20.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.31%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 0-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.
