Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 1-0 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ajaccio in this match.