Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Pau had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.43%) and 2-1 (7.36%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (12.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.