Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Pau had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
