Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Red Star had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Red Star win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amiens would win this match.
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