Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 78.07%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Red Star had a probability of 7.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.07%) and 1-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Red Star win it was 0-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Auxerre in this match.