Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 45.06%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 26.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
0.18) 
-0.07) 
