Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 69.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 11.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.05%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.