SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 46.13%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 25.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 1-0 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chateauroux | Draw | Caen |
| 25.67% | 28.2% | 46.13% |
| Both teams to score 43.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.18% | 61.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.4% | 81.6% |
| Chateauroux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.47% | 40.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.86% | 77.13% |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.12% | 26.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.81% | 62.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chateauroux | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 5.84% 2-0 @ 4.44% 3-1 @ 1.76% 3-0 @ 1.34% 3-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.31% Total : 25.67% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 14.31% 0-2 @ 9.4% 1-2 @ 8.49% 0-3 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 3.72% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.35% 1-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.83% Total : 46.12% |
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