Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenoble win with a probability of 50.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenoble win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grenoble would win this match.