Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 49.94%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Pau had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Le Havre in this match.