SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Niort had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Niort win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pau would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pau | Draw | Niort |
| 43.57% | 27.6% | 28.83% |
| Both teams to score 47.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.73% | 58.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.1% | 78.89% |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% | 26.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.25% | 61.74% |
| Niort Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.09% | 35.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.31% | 72.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Pau | Draw | Niort |
| 1-0 @ 12.64% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 8.39% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.01% Total : 43.57% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 9.53% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.76% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 1.97% Total : 28.83% |
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