Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.42%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Nancy win was 1-0 (12.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
