Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 39%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 2-1 (7.42%). The likeliest Nancy win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.