SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Niort had a probability of 26.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Niort | Draw | Caen |
| 26.89% | 28.52% | 44.59% |
| Both teams to score 43.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.78% | 62.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.1% | 81.9% |
| Niort Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.31% | 39.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.64% | 76.36% |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% | 27.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.53% | 63.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Niort | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 6.03% 2-0 @ 4.72% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.46% 3-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.42% Total : 26.89% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.5% | 0-1 @ 14.13% 0-2 @ 9.03% 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-3 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-4 @ 1.23% 1-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.68% Total : 44.59% |
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