Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Quevilly had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Quevilly win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.
