Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 61.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 17.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
