Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Sochaux had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.8%) and 1-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Sochaux win was 1-0 (12.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.