Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 52.26%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Grenoble had a probability of 22.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Grenoble win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.