Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for Quevilly had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Quevilly win was 0-1 (12.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
