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MU
MLS Playoffs | First Round
Nov 23, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Allianz Field
CR

Minnesota Utd
3 - 0
Colorado

Molino (22', 79'), Lod (54')
Boxall (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Namli (44'), Abubakar (50')
Coverage of the MLS Playoffs First Round clash between Minnesota United and Colorado Rapids.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 39%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawColorado Rapids
39%23.87%37.13%
Both teams to score 61.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.78%40.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.41%62.58%
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18%20.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.51%53.49%
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26%21.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.09%54.91%
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 39%
    Colorado Rapids 37.13%
    Draw 23.86%
Minnesota UnitedDrawColorado Rapids
2-1 @ 8.5%
1-0 @ 7.1%
2-0 @ 5.57%
3-1 @ 4.45%
3-2 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 39%
1-1 @ 10.83%
2-2 @ 6.49%
0-0 @ 4.53%
3-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.86%
1-2 @ 8.27%
0-1 @ 6.91%
0-2 @ 5.27%
1-3 @ 4.21%
2-3 @ 3.3%
0-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 1.61%
2-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 37.13%


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