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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 18
Nov 5, 2020 at 1am UK
Allianz Field
CF

Minnesota Utd
2 - 2
Chicago Fire

Aja (64'), Lod (80')
Dibassy (41'), Aja (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Beric (17'), Pineda (52')
Calvo (23'), Aliseda (78')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Chicago Fire.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 40%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawChicago Fire
40%25.04%34.96%
Both teams to score 57.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.97%46.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.66%68.33%
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12%22.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38%56.62%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42%25.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.55%60.45%
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 40%
    Chicago Fire 34.96%
    Draw 25.03%
Minnesota UnitedDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 8.68%
1-0 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 6.37%
3-1 @ 4.27%
3-0 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 40%
1-1 @ 11.76%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.85%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.03%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-1 @ 7.98%
0-2 @ 5.44%
1-3 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 2.47%
1-4 @ 1.24%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 34.96%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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