Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.