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National League North | Gameweek 1
Oct 5, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Tameside Stadium
AT

Curzon Ashton
1 - 1
Alfreton

Knowles (38')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jones (45')
Clackstone (90+1')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Alfreton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawAlfreton Town
43.92%26%30.08%
Both teams to score 52.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.36%51.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.58%73.42%
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6%23.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.61%57.39%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52%31.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13%67.87%
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 43.92%
    Alfreton Town 30.08%
    Draw 25.99%
Curzon AshtonDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 7.77%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-0 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 43.92%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 8.51%
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-2 @ 4.92%
1-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 30.08%


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