SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 17.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Darlington |
58.72% ( 0.01) | 23.77% ( -0.03) | 17.51% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.28% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.88% ( 0.14) | 54.12% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.46% ( 0.12) | 75.54% ( -0.12) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.8% ( 0.06) | 18.2% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.79% ( 0.1) | 49.21% ( -0.1) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.36% ( 0.11) | 44.64% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.36% ( 0.09) | 80.64% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 13.84% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.7% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 58.72% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.64% Total : 23.76% | 0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.57% Total : 17.51% |
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