SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Darlington |
46.02% ( 8.73) | 25.81% ( -0.36) | 28.18% ( -8.37) |
| Both teams to score 51.96% ( -1.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.21% ( -0.91) | 51.8% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.44% ( -0.8) | 73.56% ( 0.81) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% ( 4.04) | 22.48% ( -4.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.97% ( 5.69) | 56.04% ( -5.68) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.02% ( -6.03) | 32.98% ( 6.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.44% ( -7.28) | 69.56% ( 7.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 1.58) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.91)2-0 @ 8.26% ( 1.96)3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.91)3-0 @ 4.11% ( 1.32)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.49)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.61)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.01% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -1.15) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -1.35)0-2 @ 4.56% ( -1.58)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -1.05)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.49)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -1)Other @ 2.5% Total : 28.18% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
