Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.