Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.