Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Warrington Town had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Warrington Town win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
Result | ||
Warrington Town | Draw | Tamworth |
33.97% ( -0.13) | 26.36% ( 0.02) | 39.66% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 52.74% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.05% ( -0.09) | 51.94% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.31% ( -0.08) | 73.69% ( 0.08) |
Warrington Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.98% ( -0.13) | 29.02% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.08% ( -0.15) | 64.92% ( 0.15) |
Tamworth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.3% ( 0.02) | 25.7% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.38% ( 0.02) | 60.62% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Warrington Town | Draw | Tamworth |
1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.97% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.66% |
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