SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 75.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Southport had a probability of 8.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.73%) and 3-0 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tamworth | Draw | Southport |
75.3% ( -0.01) | 15.8% ( 0) | 8.9% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.82% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.15% ( 0.01) | 39.85% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.79% ( 0.01) | 62.21% ( -0.01) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.04% ( -0) | 8.96% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.42% ( -0) | 30.57% ( -0) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.33% ( 0.03) | 49.66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.57% ( 0.02) | 84.42% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tamworth | Draw | Southport |
| 2-0 @ 12.94% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.29% ( 0)4-0 @ 6.28% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.4% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.03% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.12% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 75.29% | 1-1 @ 7.51% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.66% Total : 15.8% | 0-1 @ 3.11% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.63% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 8.9% |
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