Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hampton & Richmond win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hampton & Richmond win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Bath City win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hampton & Richmond would win this match.