Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 53.68%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 23.3% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bath City in this match.
