Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Billericay Town win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Billericay Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Billericay Town would win this match.