Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Billericay Town had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Billericay Town win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.