Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concord Rangers win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Concord Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Concord Rangers would win this match.