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National League South | Gameweek 10
Nov 21, 2020 at 3.30pm UK
Thames Road

Concord Rangers
1 - 3
Dorking

Wall (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Prior (4' pen., 81' pen.), Briggs (89')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Concord Rangers and Dorking Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Concord RangersDrawDorking Wanderers
32.97%25.02%42.01%
Both teams to score 56.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.61%46.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.32%68.67%
Concord Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05%26.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72%62.28%
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95%22.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62%55.38%
Score Analysis
    Concord Rangers 32.97%
    Dorking Wanderers 42.01%
    Draw 25.01%
Concord RangersDrawDorking Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.79%
2-1 @ 7.72%
2-0 @ 5.11%
3-1 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 2.55%
3-0 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.97%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 5.94%
2-2 @ 5.84%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 8.98%
1-2 @ 8.91%
0-2 @ 6.79%
1-3 @ 4.49%
0-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.94%
1-4 @ 1.7%
0-4 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 42.01%


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