Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.