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National League South | Gameweek 8
Nov 14, 2020 at 3pm UK
Meadowbank

Dorking
4 - 1
Tonbridge Angels

Prior (15', 41', 53'), Fogden (17')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Akrofi (32')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dorking Wanderers and Tonbridge Angels.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawTonbridge Angels
44.66%23.73%31.6%
Both teams to score 60.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.07%40.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.68%63.31%
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.39%18.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.11%49.89%
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87%25.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.16%59.84%
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 44.67%
    Tonbridge Angels 31.6%
    Draw 23.72%
Dorking WanderersDrawTonbridge Angels
2-1 @ 9.13%
1-0 @ 7.86%
2-0 @ 6.61%
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-0 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 3.54%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 44.67%
1-1 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 4.68%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-1 @ 6.46%
0-2 @ 4.46%
1-3 @ 3.45%
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 31.6%


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