SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Dartford | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Concord Rangers | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Worthing | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Havant & Waterlooville | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Tonbridge Angels | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Dartford win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dartford | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
29.94% ( 0.57) | 25.82% ( 0.11) | 44.24% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 52.98% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.04% ( -0.19) | 50.96% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.17% ( -0.17) | 72.83% ( 0.17) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% ( 0.31) | 31.24% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.41% ( 0.36) | 67.59% ( -0.35) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% ( -0.4) | 22.95% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.26% ( -0.59) | 56.73% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dartford | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
| 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.91% Total : 29.94% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0)3-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.24% |
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