Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.