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National League South | Gameweek 42
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Priory Lane Stadium
MU

Eastbourne
1 - 5
Maidstone

Bird (35')
Beard (26'), Bird (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Corne (7' pen.), Rush (65'), Reynolds (85', 90', 90+3' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Eastbourne Borough and Maidstone United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slough 1-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 1-0 Weston
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.

Result
Eastbourne BoroughDrawMaidstone United
34.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 24.77% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 40.39% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 58.32% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)44.83% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.81% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)67.19% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.08% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)59.77% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.84% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)22.16% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.45% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)55.55% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Eastbourne Borough 34.84%
    Maidstone United 40.39%
    Draw 24.77%
Eastbourne BoroughDrawMaidstone United
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.32% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.45% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.84%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 40.39%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Slough 1-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-1 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-0 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 1-0 Eastbourne
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Eastbourne
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 1-0 Weston
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 0-2 Maidstone
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-0 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 1-2 St Albans City
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-2 Bath City
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 Maidstone
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South


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