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National League South | Gameweek 4
Oct 24, 2020 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
3 - 2
Hungerford

Grant (8'), Martin (66'), Taylor (80')
Rowan (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Jones (3'), Hopper (37')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Hungerford Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawHungerford Town
43.64%24.99%31.37%
Both teams to score 56.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17%46.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.92%69.08%
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52%21.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.49%54.51%
Hungerford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83%28.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.14%63.86%
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 43.64%
    Hungerford Town 31.37%
    Draw 24.99%
EbbsfleetDrawHungerford Town
1-0 @ 9.31%
2-1 @ 9.07%
2-0 @ 7.16%
3-1 @ 4.65%
3-0 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.64%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 6.05%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.67%
1-2 @ 7.47%
0-2 @ 4.86%
1-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.37%


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