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National League South | Gameweek 3
Oct 17, 2020 at 3pm UK
Clarence Park, St Albans
EU

St Albans City
3 - 2
Ebbsfleet

Weiss (38'), Jeffers (40', 58')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Bingham (21' pen.), Grant (27')
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Ebbsfleet.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
St Albans CityDrawEbbsfleet
33.51%25.65%40.83%
Both teams to score 54.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.95%49.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87%71.13%
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1%27.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49%63.51%
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21%23.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05%57.94%
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 33.51%
    Ebbsfleet 40.83%
    Draw 25.65%
St Albans CityDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 8.47%
2-1 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 5.41%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.37%
3-0 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 33.51%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.63%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 9.53%
1-2 @ 8.74%
0-2 @ 6.84%
1-3 @ 4.18%
0-3 @ 3.28%
2-3 @ 2.67%
1-4 @ 1.5%
0-4 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40.83%


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