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National League South | Gameweek 14
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Paddy Power Park

Farnborough
4 - 1
Tonbridge Angels

Pendlebury (31', 85'), Folivi (45+2'), Hall (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Meade (71')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidstone 1-1 Farnborough
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-2 Bath City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 21.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawTonbridge Angels
55.88% (-0.116 -0.12) 22.71% (0.032 0.03) 21.42% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 54.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.34% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)44.66% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.97% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)67.02% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.18% (-0.053999999999988 -0.05)15.82% (0.051 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.01% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)44.99% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12% (0.061000000000007 0.06)34.88% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38% (0.064 0.06)71.62% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 55.87%
    Tonbridge Angels 21.42%
    Draw 22.7%
Farnborough TownDrawTonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 9.38% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.77% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.66% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 55.87%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.7%
0-1 @ 5.81% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.64% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 21.42%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Maidstone 1-1 Farnborough
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 2-1 St Albans City
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Farnborough
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 2-2 Slough
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-1 Farnborough
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-0 Farnborough
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-2 Bath City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-3 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-3 Taunton Town
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-0 Braintree
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South


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